Seasonal Analysis and Species Classification
Greylag Goose
Model Family : Seasonal presence
Summary
Greylag Goose
Narrow spring seasonal presence
Greylag Goose is classified as narrow spring seasonal presence. The fitted seasonal window runs from about November to September, with a spring peak around April. The season is narrow, with a sharp active window, strong post-peak decline, and strong off-season suppression.
- Confidence
- Review
- Fit score
- 0.348
- Peak
- April
- Season
- November–September
Seasonal wheel
Calendar strip
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Highlighted months indicate stronger modelled presence or detectability. A ring marks the fitted peak; a hollow mark indicates the trough where available.
Classification evidence
- Season start month
- 11.27
- Season end month
- 9.34
- Forcing peak month
- 4.33
- Season width months
- -1.93
- Season midpoint month
- 10.305
- Season start label
- November
- Season end label
- September
- Forcing peak label
- April
Warnings
- Season end is not later than season start; this classifier expects a non-wrapping seasonal model.
- Forcing peak lies outside the fitted seasonal window.
Observed and Simulated Seasonal Patterns
