Field Notes Journal

Seasonal Analysis and Species Classification

Gadwall

Model Family : Resident detectability

Summary

Gadwall

Resident with summer detectability collapse

Gadwall is classified as resident with summer detectability collapse. The fitted resident detectability target peaks around February and reaches its lowest point around May. The model indicates weak baseline presence, weak spring carry-over, strong pre-summer retention, moderate summer suppression, and strong summer decay acceleration.

Confidence
Medium
Fit score
0.234
Peak detectability
February
Lowest detectability
May

Seasonal wheel

Seasonal wheel for Gadwall Gadwall Peak: February

Calendar strip

Jan 0.45
Feb 0.47
Mar 0.17
Apr 0.09
May 0.0
Jun 0.04
Jul 0.07
Aug 0.04
Sep 0.04
Oct 0.05
Nov 0.07
Dec 0.28

Highlighted months indicate stronger modelled presence or detectability. A ring marks the fitted peak; a hollow mark indicates the trough where available.

Classification evidence

Target peak month
2
Target peak label
February
Target trough month
5
Target trough label
May
Target peak value
0.468
Target trough value
0.0
Target mean value
0.148
Target amplitude
0.468
Baseline to peak ratio
0.085
Autumn to winter weight ratio
0.069
Year end to winter weight ratio
0.382
Decay to growth ratio
1.54

Observed and Simulated Seasonal Patterns

Gadwall Observed Presence, Thrupp Lake
Gadwall Observed Presence, Thrupp Lake
Gadwall Observed Totals, Thrupp Lake
Gadwall Observed Totals, Thrupp Lake
Gadwall Simulated Presence, Thrupp Lake
Gadwall Simulated Presence, Thrupp Lake

Cite this dataset

You are welcome to reuse or reproduce this material under the terms of the Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 licence but please cite it using the reference below, include a link to the licence, and indicate if any changes were made.

Walker, David. Gadwall. Field Notes Journal. ID FN-WL-SEASONAL. Version 2026.05.26. https://fieldnotesjournal.uk/wildlife/seasonal/thrupp_lake/gadwall.html

Dataset FN-WL-SEASONAL Author David Walker Publisher Field Notes Journal Version 2026.05.26

BibTeX
@dataset{fn_wl_seasonal,
  author = {Walker, David},
  title = {Gadwall},
  year = {2026},
  publisher = {Field Notes Journal},
  version = {2026.05.26},
  url = {https://fieldnotesjournal.uk/wildlife/seasonal/thrupp_lake/gadwall.html}
}