Field Notes Journal

Seasonal Analysis and Species Classification

Winter Aconite

Model Family : Seasonal presence

Summary

Winter Aconite

Narrow winter seasonal presence

Winter Aconite is classified as narrow winter seasonal presence. The fitted seasonal window runs from about February to March, with a winter peak around February. The season is narrow, with a sharp active window, moderate post-peak decline, and strong off-season suppression.

Confidence
High
Fit score
0.004
Peak
February
Season
February–March

Seasonal wheel

Seasonal wheel for Winter Aconite Winter Aconite Peak: February

Calendar strip

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

Highlighted months indicate stronger modelled presence or detectability. A ring marks the fitted peak; a hollow mark indicates the trough where available.

Classification evidence

Season start month
1.505
Season end month
2.945
Forcing peak month
2.355
Season width months
1.44
Season midpoint month
2.225
Season start label
February
Season end label
March
Forcing peak label
February

Observed and Simulated Seasonal Patterns

Winter Aconite Observed Presence, Abingdon
Winter Aconite Observed Presence, Abingdon
Winter Aconite Observed Totals, Abingdon
Winter Aconite Observed Totals, Abingdon
Winter Aconite Simulated Presence, Abingdon
Winter Aconite Simulated Presence, Abingdon

Cite this dataset

You are welcome to reuse or reproduce this material under the terms of the Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 licence but please cite it using the reference below, include a link to the licence, and indicate if any changes were made.

Walker, David. Winter Aconite. Field Notes Journal. ID FN-WL-SEASONAL. Version 2026.05.26. https://fieldnotesjournal.uk/wildlife/seasonal/abingdon/winter_aconite.html

Dataset FN-WL-SEASONAL Author David Walker Publisher Field Notes Journal Version 2026.05.26
Reference: Walker, David. Winter Aconite. Field Notes Journal. ID FN-WL-SEASONAL. Version 2026.05.26.

BibTeX 
@dataset{fn_wl_seasonal,
  author = {Walker, David},
  title = {Winter Aconite},
  year = {2026},
  publisher = {Field Notes Journal},
  version = {2026.05.26},
  url = {https://fieldnotesjournal.uk/wildlife/seasonal/abingdon/winter_aconite.html}
}