Seasonal Analysis and Species Classification
Common Kestrel
Model Family : Resident detectability
Summary
Common Kestrel
Resident with summer detectability collapse
Common Kestrel is classified as resident with summer detectability collapse. The fitted resident detectability target peaks around April and reaches its lowest point around November. The model indicates moderate baseline presence, weak spring carry-over, strong pre-summer retention, moderate summer suppression, and strong summer decay acceleration.
- Confidence
- Low
- Fit score
- 0.549
- Peak detectability
- April
- Lowest detectability
- November
Seasonal wheel
Calendar strip
Jan
0.33
Feb
0.35
Mar
0.55
Apr
0.76
May
0.51
Jun
0.34
Jul
0.32
Aug
0.28
Sep
0.28
Oct
0.27
Nov
0.16
Dec
0.49
Highlighted months indicate stronger modelled presence or detectability. A ring marks the fitted peak; a hollow mark indicates the trough where available.
Classification evidence
- Target peak month
- 4
- Target peak label
- April
- Target trough month
- 11
- Target trough label
- November
- Target peak value
- 0.765
- Target trough value
- 0.164
- Target mean value
- 0.388
- Target amplitude
- 0.601
- Baseline to peak ratio
- 0.369
- Autumn to winter weight ratio
- 0.069
- Year end to winter weight ratio
- 0.619
- Decay to growth ratio
- 1.134
Observed and Simulated Seasonal Patterns
